Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.162804 0.191729 0.224052 0.262815 0.308009 0.359007 0.420893
2025-10-05 0.125138 0.163991 0.211974 0.275448 0.357070 0.458357 0.593458
2025-10-12 0.105592 0.149754 0.208462 0.291908 0.407142 0.560312 0.778995
2025-10-19 0.089905 0.136132 0.201434 0.299902 0.444044 0.646664 0.952346
2025-10-26 0.076395 0.122523 0.191251 0.300371 0.468414 0.716355 1.108644
2025-11-02 0.063808 0.107855 0.176742 0.291358 0.476150 0.760965 1.231286
2025-11-09 0.052867 0.093839 0.160872 0.277343 0.473246 0.787555 1.327353
2025-11-16 0.046531 0.086372 0.154291 0.277056 0.491633 0.848643 1.483889
2025-11-23 0.040079 0.077651 0.144268 0.269301 0.495964 0.886292 1.604480
2025-11-30 0.036537 0.073642 0.141855 0.274385 0.522810 0.964281 1.801764
2025-12-07 0.032829 0.068743 0.137108 0.274426 0.540218 1.026986 1.977738
2025-12-14 0.028907 0.062831 0.129641 0.268247 0.545019 1.066887 2.115351
2025-12-21 0.025649 0.058007 0.124080 0.265945 0.558714 1.127997 2.306218
2025-12-28 0.024252 0.056954 0.126051 0.279294 0.605513 1.258441 2.647967
2026-01-04 0.023262 0.056626 0.129456 0.296029 0.661209 1.412380 3.053602
2026-01-11 0.021649 0.054612 0.128923 0.304135 0.699561 1.535127 3.408544
2026-01-18 0.019659 0.051378 0.125208 0.304611 0.721259 1.625317 3.704504
2026-01-25 0.017281 0.046803 0.117762 0.295476 0.720202 1.666510 3.898740
2026-02-01 0.014913 0.041853 0.108713 0.281270 0.705569 1.676036 4.023365
2026-02-08 0.013607 0.039468 0.105574 0.280979 0.723716 1.761025 4.328353
2026-02-15 0.012070 0.036195 0.099737 0.273118 0.722428 1.800909 4.532399
2026-02-22 0.011308 0.034965 0.099004 0.278271 0.754151 1.921876 4.942146
2026-03-01 0.010396 0.033152 0.096468 0.278313 0.772793 2.013167 5.289192